
If you roll the dice you know that it will get a 1,2,3,4,5 or 6, but what you don't know is which of these numbers you will get within a given roll. This is exactly how the Monte Carlo simulation works. By running multiple trials based on random sampling to determine an outcome. Using a combination of probability calculation and statistics.
Why is the Monte Carlo model important? Because it reminds us that models do not represent reality. I simply approximation of reality.
If I know exactly what I'm going to do what's good in doing Pablo Picasso.
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